Chapter 2 Demographics of tobacco use

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Tobacco will be responsible for 100 million deaths worldwide in the first two decades

of the new millennium.

Lancet, March 13, 1999, p. 909

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Tobacco's share of death and disability worldwide is expected to increase from 3% at

present to 9% in 2025.

Public Health Reports, January 1998, p. 17

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The number of smokers worldwide is expected to rise from 1.1 billion in 2000 to 1.6

billion in 2025. Every day, worldwide, between 82,000 and 99,000 young people start

to smoke.

Curbing the Epidemic, pp. 2 and 19

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The number of worldwide smokers will increase from 1.1 billion in 1998 to an

estimated 1.64 billion in 2025, as tobacco deaths increase from 3 million a year to 10

million. By comparison, annual HIV deaths will peak at 1.7 million in the year 2006. By

2025, the prevalence of smoking among women worldwide is expected to rise from

8% to 20%, but for men, to fall to 25% in developed countries (as low as 15% in

some), and to decrease from 60% to 45% in developing countries. "By 2025, the

transfer of the tobacco epidemic from rich to poor countries will be well advanced,

with only 15% of the world's smokers living in the rich countries."

Public Health Reports, January 199, pp. 14-17 (Judith Mackay)

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Worldwatch Institute and U.S. Department of Agriculture figures for world cigarette

production in trillions of cigarettes: 1950 : 1.68, 1960 : 2.15, 1970 : 3.11, 1980 : 4.39,

1990 : 5.42, 1995 : 5.60, 1996 . 5.68 (peak), 1997 : 5.64, 1998 : 5.61 trillion.

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Thursday, July 06, 2000

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