Chapter 3 Mortality And Longevity Data

tobacco reference guide (artefact pour

globalink (artefact pour saut de ligne)

Male heavy smokers in a survey expected a 67% chance that they would live to age

75 or older, while medical studies and actuarial predictions suggest that they have

only a 26% chance of living to age 75. (Never-smoker males have a 68% chance of

living to age 75.) In women, 83% of never-smokers will live to age 75, compared to

only 31% of women who smoke more than 25 cigarettes a day.

Reuters Health e line, June 13, 1997, and San Francisco Chronicle, June 14, 1997

tobacco reference guide (artefact pour saut

A 35 year old male never-smoker has an 87% chance of surviving to age 65 (vs. 73%

chance for a smoker), a 69% chance of living to age 75 (vs. 47%), and a 34% chance

to age to age 85 (vs. 16% for a smoker). For women, the percentages are 90%

compared with 83% to age 65, 76% vs. 63% to age 75, and 45% vs. 29% to age 85.

Milbank Quarterly, Vol. 70 No 1, 1992, p. 91

tobacco reference guide (artefact pour saut

At age 70, 78% of male nonsmokers are still alive, as compared to only 57% of

smokers; for women, the figures are 86% and 75%. At age 80, the survival for males

in 50% and 21% for nonsmokers and smokers, respectively, and among women, 67%

and 43%.

NEJM, October 9, 1997, pp. 1053-54

tobacco reference guide (artefact pour saut

A study reported in the May/June 1990 issue of Contingencies found that a

30-year-old smoker could expect to live another 34.8 years, compared with another

52.7 years for a 30-year-old who had never smoked. This was a difference of 17.9

years in life expectancy.

tobacco reference guide (artefact pour saut

A 65-year-old never-smoker can expect a life expectancy of an additional 17 years to

age 82. A 65-year-old smoker has a predicted expectancy to age 76, but by stopping

at age 65, life expectancy is 80 years, a gain of 4 years.

Clinics in Geriatric Medicine, May 1986, p.338

tobacco reference guide (artefact pour saut

tobacco reference guide (artefact pour

Friday, July 07, 2000

Page 4 of 7

globalink (artefact pour saut de ligne)

First page of this chapter        Previous page of this chapter        Next page of this chapter Last page of this chapter Copyright (©) 2000 - David Moyer - published on UICC GLOBALink